a top-four tight-end per-game rate over eight games before a November ACL tear, priced TE5. The talent and role say buy; the knee and a touchdown-inflated sample say watch.
Tucker Kraft 2026 Season Preview — an All-Pro pace, then a torn ACL
Show notes & transcript▾
Before he tore his ACL in November, Tucker Kraft was on pace to be an All-Pro — a top-four tight end on a per-game basis. The market is pricing him TE5, betting the knee comes all the way back. The Muffed 2026 preview.
The 2025 season was eight games of a breakout: thirty-two catches for four hundred eighty-nine yards and six touchdowns, fourteen-six a game — the number-four tight end per game when he played, though the injury left him at TE24 in total. The signature was a seven-catch, a hundred forty-three-yard, two-touchdown game against Pittsburgh in Week 8, weeks before the knee. On a per-game basis, he was elite.
The arc is straight up: five-six a game, nine-six, and then fourteen-six — a third-year leap into the position's top tier, cut short.
What the data says, both sides honestly: the per-game rate is genuinely exciting, but two things make it hard to bank. First, it's eight games. Second, his touchdown share — thirty percent, six scores in eight games — is a top-quartile rate that regresses; the fourteen-six was partly touchdown-fueled. So the TE4 rate is real talent but not a clean repeat even at full health.
The situation, per the reports, is the swing: Kraft tore his ACL on November 2nd, but he says he'll be ready for Week 1 with no snap limits, his coach calls him "right on schedule" and "a big focal point," and he's declared himself the best tight end in football when healthy. The talent and the role are there; the knee is the question, and ACL returns aren't always linear.
The price: pick eighty-six, the fifth tight end. Verdict: WATCHLIST — an ascending top-tier talent with a defined role, priced about at his per-game rate, with a torn ACL and a touchdown-inflated sample as the two big unknowns. The counter for him: if the knee is right, a focal-point tight end at TE5 is a value, and the reports are glowing. Against: you're paying a near-starter price on an eight-game sample and a recovering knee. The talent says buy; the uncertainty says watch.
September watch: the knee — snap count and explosiveness early; and the touchdown rate, where six in eight games won't hold its pace. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.
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2025: 32 catches for 489 yards, 6 TDs on 44 targets; 3 rushing yards, 0 rushing TDs (8 games)
More episodes
2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026Tucker Kraft 2025 Season in Review
TE24 on the season — 8 games, 14.7 PPR/game
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Tucker Kraft 2025 Season in Review
TE24 on the season — 8 games, 14.7 PPR/game
Show notes & transcript
Tucker Kraft finished 2025 as the number 24 tight end in total PPR scoring — and the number 4 tight end in PPR per game. Read those two ranks together and you've got his whole fantasy year in one sentence: when he played, he was elite; he just didn't play enough. Kraft suited up for only 8 games before his season ended, and in that window he was a featured red-zone weapon in one of the best passing offenses in football. Six touchdowns in eight games screams touchdown-dependent — but the volume of high-leverage looks wasn't a fluke. This was a breakout cut short, not a hot streak fading.
Now let's dig into the numbers. Kraft averaged 14.7 PPR points per game across his 8 appearances on 32 catches for 489 yards and 6 touchdowns on 44 targets — a 73 percent catch rate on a healthy five-and-a-half targets per game. The efficiency was real: 6 scores on 44 targets means he found the end zone on roughly 1 in every 7 balls thrown his way, inside a Green Bay passing attack that finished 3rd in the league in total passing expected points added at plus 118.8. On consistency, his weekly scores tell a boom-anchored-by-touchdowns story — 33.3 against the Steelers, 24.4 against the Commanders, 16.8 in Arizona, but also a 4.0 against Carolina, a 5.9 in Cleveland, and a 9.9 in the opener. When he found the end zone, he was a league-winner. When he didn't, he floored in single digits. Classic touchdown-dependent tight end. And with Jordan Love throwing 23 touchdowns on the year and Green Bay converting 48.5 percent of their third downs — second in the entire league — Kraft was plugged into the exact kind of offense that feeds tight end scoring.
The play that captures the season best came in Pittsburgh in Week 8. Third and 4, ball at the Steelers' 24, fourth quarter, Green Bay clinging to a 22-19 lead. Love hit Kraft on a short middle route 6 yards downfield, and Kraft turned it into 18 yards after the catch for a 24-yard touchdown that broke the game open in a 35-25 win. Third down, red-zone-adjacent, high leverage, yards after catch doing the heavy lifting — that's the Tucker Kraft 2025 season in miniature. He was the guy Love looked for when the offense needed a chunk and a score, and he was converting at a rate that made him a top-five per-game tight end before his year ended.
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