Rhamondre Stevenson

Rhamondre Stevenson finished as a top-twenty-five back last season on the strength of nine touchdowns — and almost everything about that line points down for 2026. The Muffed 2026 preview on a quiet fade.

The 2025 season looked fine on the surface: a hundred thirty carries for six hundred three yards, seven rushing scores, thirty-two catches — twelve-eight a game, RB22 per game. The signature was a three-touchdown, thirty-five point explosion against Miami in Week 18. But the shape is the warning: it was a part-time carry count propped up by an unusually high touchdown rate, and he gave way late as the rookie behind him took over.

The arc is unremarkable: a fourteen-seven-a-game peak back in 2022, then twelve-one, eleven-seven, and twelve-eight. Solid, replaceable RB2 production, with the value increasingly tied to scoring rather than volume.

Here's the call, and two of our patterns fire on it together. First, his touchdown share is thirty percent — just into the top quartile, where backs that touchdown-dependent fade about three points a game the next season. Seven rushing scores on a hundred thirty carries is a rate that regresses. Second, he's a career-year-five back, the band where our aging rule docks production further. Stack a touchdown fade on an aging curve and the twelve-eight comes down toward RB3 territory.

And the situation, per the reports, removes the cushion: New England's backfield is a genuine committee with TreVeyon Henderson, the more efficient rookie, whose workload climbed all season — he handled the bulk late while Stevenson led the playoff carries. The two are a "two-headed monster," and the trend line points toward Henderson taking the larger share. Stevenson holds the early-down and goal-line role; he's unlikely to hold the volume that made him an RB22.

The price: pick seventy-eight, the twenty-ninth back. Verdict: LEAN — overpriced. The finish was touchdown-fueled, the back is aging, and the rookie behind him is rising — three reasons the RB22 production doesn't repeat, at a price that needs it to. The counter for him: he led the playoff carries, holds the goal-line work, and is only twenty-seven, so he's not going away. But you're paying RB29 for the fading half of a committee.

September watch: the carry split with Henderson — the whole bet; and the touchdown rate, where seven scores is the part most likely to fall. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.