an eleven-year 1,000-yard streak ended at 33 on an injury, now catching from Brock Purdy in San Francisco. A clean profile against age and a new system.
Mike Evans 2026 Season Preview — the streak ended, the calendar didn't
Show notes & transcript▾
For more than a decade, Mike Evans went over a thousand receiving yards every single year — a streak matched only by the greatest receivers ever. Last season it ended, on an injury, and now he's in San Francisco catching from Brock Purdy. The whole 2026 question is whether the metronome restarts or the clock finally ran out. The Muffed 2026 preview.
The 2025 season was the first real dip of his career: eight games, thirty catches, three hundred sixty-eight yards, three touchdowns — ten-six a game, WR39 per game — as injuries cost him half the year. The signature was a vintage one-hundred-thirty-two-yard afternoon against Atlanta in Week 15, the reminder that when healthy the big-bodied X-receiver is still there. But it was eight games, and the thousand-yard streak died with them.
The arc, until last year, was almost comically steady: every season from 2016 through 2024 cleared a thousand yards, at fifteen-to-eighteen fantasy points a game. He's a future Hall of Famer whose consistency was his signature. The question the data can't answer is whether 2025 was an injury blip or the front edge of real decline — because there's no honest pattern that fades a receiver on age alone, but everyone knows what a thirty-three-year-old receiver coming off an injury year represents.
What the data does say is in his favor: his touchdown share, at twenty-one percent, is only just into the top quartile — so unlike some aging touchdown-dependent receivers, Evans wasn't propped up by a fluky scoring rate; the down year was lost volume, not regression. There's no luck to give back. The risk isn't a number on the page; it's the calendar and the new uniform.
The situation, per the reports, is the bull case: Evans signed a three-year deal with San Francisco and could be Purdy's number-one receiver, the tall red-zone target the room lacked, and he's said Purdy was "a big reason" he signed. The bear case lives in the same sentence — it's a new offense at thirty-three, the Shanahan scheme spreads the ball to Kittle, the backs, and the rest of the room, and not everyone's convinced Purdy unlocks a downfield X the way past quarterbacks did.
The price: pick fifty-five, the twenty-eighth receiver. Verdict: WATCHLIST — a proven elite with a clean profile and a strong landing spot, against age, an injury year, and a crowded new offense, with no pattern to settle it. The counter for him: if healthy, a Hall-of-Fame route-runner catching from a top-tier quarterback at WR28 is a steal, and the touchdown floor is real. Against: you're betting a thirty-three-year-old re-acclimates in a new system after his first lost season. Genuinely a coin you have to watch land.
September watch: his health and snap count first — the body is the question now; then the target share in a deep room, and whether Purdy looks his way in the red zone. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.
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2025: 30 catches for 368 yards, 3 TDs on 62 targets (8 games)
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2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026Mike Evans 2025 Season in Review
WR75 on the season — 8 games, 10.6 PPR/game
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Mike Evans 2025 Season in Review
WR75 on the season — 8 games, 10.6 PPR/game
Show notes & transcript
Mike Evans finished 2025 as the number 75 wide receiver in total PPR scoring — but the number 40 wide receiver in PPR per game. That gap tells the whole story in one number: this was an availability season, not a talent season. Evans suited up for just eight games in a San Francisco offense he didn't headline at the start of the year — that role belonged to Jauan Jennings, who led the team in receiving. When Evans was active, he was a real piece of the passing game. When he wasn't, his managers got muffed by zeros on the bench. That's the season in one breath.
Now let's dig into the numbers, because the per-snap profile is sharper than the counting line suggests. Evans averaged 10.6 PPR points per game on 30 catches for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns on 62 targets across his eight games. The usage was premium: a 24 percent average target share and a 35 percent average air yards share — he was the field-stretcher whenever he was on the grass. The work was vertical, not after the catch — just 37 yards after the catch all season, with average separation of 1.92 yards at the catch point. And the weekly line was steadier than you'd guess: 10.1, 10.6, 13.3, a zero against the Falcons, then 19.2, 14.1, 12.1, and 5.4 to close. Outside of that Week 7 goose egg and the Week 18 dud against Seattle, this was a steady floor in the 10-to-19 range — the variance came from games missed, not boom-or-bust within games. Brock Purdy's 69 percent completion rate against an expected 64 percent — second in the league in completion percentage over expected — kept Evans's catchable-target rate honest when Purdy was under center.
The defining beat was Week 15 against Tennessee: six catches, 132 yards in a 37-24 win, and his only triple-digit day of the season. That was the version of Evans you drafted for — a true number one outside threat eating vertical targets in a winning script. The problem wasn't that Evans couldn't play. It's that he only gave you eight of those Sundays.
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