nine rushing touchdowns as a rookie on a 43 percent rushing share (the safest floor at the position) but below-average passing, priced QB11. Fair for the combination; Nabers and the arm are the ceiling.
Jaxson Dart 2026 Season Preview — a rookie rushing floor, a passing game to build
Show notes & transcript▾
Jaxson Dart ran for nine touchdowns as a rookie — the third-most by any quarterback in a single season, ever. That's the floor. The passing is the project. At QB11, the price is fair for both. The Muffed 2026 preview.
The 2025 season was a dual-threat rookie year: fourteen games, seventeen-three a game, QB14 per game, on twenty-two seventy-two passing yards, fifteen touchdowns, just five picks, plus four hundred eighty-seven rushing yards and nine rushing scores. The signature was a three-touchdown, twenty-eight point game against Denver in Week 7. The legs were the story all year.
The arc is one rookie season, so there's nothing to trend — but the shape is clear, and it leans hard on one elite trait.
Here's the read. His rushing share is forty-three percent — the highest of any quarterback we cover, and by a wide margin. Our research says rushing quarterbacks carry the safest fantasy floors, and Dart's legs are the safest part of his game. The flip side, just as clearly: his passing was below average — a completion percentage over expected near the bottom of the league, modest yards and touchdowns. So the floor is genuine and the ceiling depends entirely on the arm catching up to the legs.
The situation, per the reports, is the upside: a new system under Matt Nagy, a healthy Malik Nabers returning from a torn ACL — a true number-one receiver Dart barely got to throw to as a rookie — and added downfield weapons. The rushing record set a high floor; Nabers and development are the path to a ceiling.
The price: pick eighty-nine, the eleventh quarterback. Verdict: NO CALL — a rookie with an elite rushing floor and a developing arm, priced just about right for that combination. The counter both ways: if the passing takes a year-two step with Nabers back, QB11 is cheap; if the arm stalls, the legs alone keep him a usable streamer rather than a difference-maker. Fair price, real upside, genuine questions.
September watch: the passing efficiency — the completion percentage over expected is the whole development question; and the Nabers chemistry, the ceiling-raiser. Your guys, every week. Next preview's queued.
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2025: 2,272 passing yards, 15 passing TDs, 5 INTs; 487 rushing yards on 86 carries, 9 rushing TDs (14 games)
More episodes
2025 ReviewMay 11, 2026Jaxson Dart 2025 Season in Review
QB13 on the season — 14 games, 17.3 PPR/game
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Jaxson Dart 2025 Season in Review
QB13 on the season — 14 games, 17.3 PPR/game
Show notes & transcript
Jaxson Dart finished his rookie season as the number 13 quarterback in total PPR scoring and the number 14 quarterback in PPR per game — and for a kid who didn't even start Week 1, that's a story. Dart took over a four-and-thirteen Giants team and immediately became the most fantasy-relevant thing about that offense. Not because he was lighting up the passing chart. Because his legs turned every red-zone trip into a touchdown threat. He racked up 9 rushing touchdowns on 86 carries and 487 rushing yards — the number 12 mark in rushing scores across the entire league, quarterbacks and running backs combined. The real-football Dart was a flawed but dangerous runner playing behind shaky protection on a team that couldn't stop anybody. The fantasy Dart was a streaming-tier starter whose floor was propped up almost entirely by his cleats, not his arm.
Now let's dig into the numbers, because they explain the ranking. Through 14 games he threw for 2,272 yards, 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions — modest volume, and the efficiency underneath was rough. His adjusted net yards per attempt was 5.9, ranking 26th among qualified passers, and his completion percentage over expected was minus 2, ranking 27th — bottom-six in the league at actually delivering accurate footballs. He was sacked 35 times behind a Giants line that allowed 48 sacks at a 7.7 percent rate. The rushing production salvaged the fantasy line: 17.3 PPR points per game, with that 9-touchdown floor doing the heavy lifting. And he was genuinely boom-or-bust — four games above 23 PPR points, but three outings at 0.3 or lower, including a zero against the Vikings in Week 16 and a minus 0.3 in his Week 2 cameo. When the rushing touchdowns came, he was a top-five weekly quarterback. When they didn't, he was unstartable.
The play that captures the season came in Week 7 at Denver: third and 17 from the Broncos' 41, fourth quarter, Giants up 19 to 8. Dart dropped back, found Theo Johnson on a short middle route, and Johnson took it the distance for a 41-yard touchdown — a six-point swing in expected points on a third-and-long conversion. That was Dart's ceiling game, a 28.4 PPR explosion with three passing touchdowns and a rushing score. And the Giants still lost by one. That's the rookie year in a sentence: real flashes, real rushing production, real fantasy usefulness on his best days — wrapped inside a passing profile that graded bottom-six in the league by the efficiency measures that matter most.
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